NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400

For the first time this year, NASCAR will be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday at Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR in Richmond as the leader in the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s searching for his fourth win of this year along with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 chance to receive it as he starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond chances have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are among the other top contenders at this .75-mile short track. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first be sure to check out the NASCAR predictions in the proven computer version at SportsLine.

Produced by DFS expert and SportsLine predictive information scientist Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and current results into consideration.

The model is off to a strong start in NASCAR this season, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin a top-four contender from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol a week. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events in iconic venues like Richmond Raceway have been in his bloodstream. Now, his model mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.

For NASCAR at Richmond 2019we can inform you that the model is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite heading off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond odds.

Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events in Richmond and won the Richmond autumn race in 2017. He will begin in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. But he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he’s revealed the rate needed to scale the NASCAR at Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.

Along with a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the top Vegas favorites in 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better values in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR at Richmond lineup.

The 39-year-old veteran is sitting in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway after which struggled last week in Bristol, finishing 17th. In his career, Truex hasn’t fared well at Richmond Raceway either. In fact, he has finished in the top five just three times in 26 career starts at the track.

The version can also be targeting two additional drivers using 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run at winning it all. Anybody who backs these lengthy shots can hit it big.

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